Gastroenterology
Volume 136, Issue 4 , Pages 1206-1214 , April 2009

Prospective Derivation and Validation of a Clinical Prediction Rule for Recurrent Clostridium difficile Infection

  • Mary Y. Hu

      Affiliations

    • Division of Gastroenterology, Department of Medicine, Beth Israel Deaconess Medical Center, Harvard Medical School, Boston, Massachusetts
  • ,
  • Kianoosh Katchar

      Affiliations

    • Division of Gastroenterology, Department of Medicine, Beth Israel Deaconess Medical Center, Harvard Medical School, Boston, Massachusetts
  • ,
  • Lorraine Kyne

      Affiliations

    • Department of Medicine for the Older Person, Mater Misericordiae University Hospital, University College Dublin, Dublin, Ireland
  • ,
  • Seema Maroo

      Affiliations

    • Division of Gastroenterology, Department of Medicine, Beth Israel Deaconess Medical Center, Harvard Medical School, Boston, Massachusetts
  • ,
  • Sanjeev Tummala

      Affiliations

    • Division of Gastroenterology, Department of Medicine, Beth Israel Deaconess Medical Center, Harvard Medical School, Boston, Massachusetts
  • ,
  • Valley Dreisbach

      Affiliations

    • Division of Gastroenterology, Department of Medicine, Beth Israel Deaconess Medical Center, Harvard Medical School, Boston, Massachusetts
  • ,
  • Hua Xu

      Affiliations

    • Division of Gastroenterology, Department of Medicine, Beth Israel Deaconess Medical Center, Harvard Medical School, Boston, Massachusetts
  • ,
  • Daniel A. Leffler

      Affiliations

    • Division of Gastroenterology, Department of Medicine, Beth Israel Deaconess Medical Center, Harvard Medical School, Boston, Massachusetts
  • ,
  • Ciarán P. Kelly

      Affiliations

    • Division of Gastroenterology, Department of Medicine, Beth Israel Deaconess Medical Center, Harvard Medical School, Boston, Massachusetts
    • Corresponding Author InformationReprint requests Address requests for reprints to: Ciarán P. Kelly, MD, Associate Professor of Medicine, Harvard Medical School, Division of Gastroenterology, Department of Medicine, Beth Israel Deaconess Medical Center, 330 Brookline Ave, Dana 601, Boston, Massachusetts 02215. fax: 617-667-8144

Received 9 June 2008 ,Accepted 11 December 2008.

  • Image Result

    (A) Receiver operating characteristic curves for the clinical prediction model of recurrent C difficile infection. The area under the curve for the derivation cohort was 0.83 (95% CI: 0.70–0.95), and

    (A) Receiver operating characteristic curves for the clinical prediction model of recurrent C difficile infection. The area under the curve for the derivation cohort was 0.83 (95% CI: 0.70–0.95), and the area-under-the-curve for the validation cohort was 0.80 (95% CI: 0.67–0.92). The dashed line represents a test of no discrimination. (B) Receiver operating characteristic curves for the combined prediction model of recurrent C difficile infection. The area under the curve for the derivation cohort was 0.89 (95% CI: 0.80–0.99), and the area under the curve for the validation cohort was 0.62 (95% CI: 0.44–0.80). The dashed line represents a test of no discrimination.

 Conflicts of interest The authors disclose the following: During the past 2 years, Ciarán P. Kelly has acted as a scientific consultant for Acambis, Actelion, BioHelix, Genzyme, Replidyne, Salix, and ViroPharm and has received research grant funding from Actelion Inc, Genzyme Inc, Massachusetts Biologics Laboratories, Medarex Inc, and Salix Pharmaceuticals, companies that are producing or developing treatments for C difficile infection. No potential conflicts of interest exist for other authors.

 Funding Supported by grants from the National Institutes of Health (RO-1 AI053069 (to C.P.K.); K30-HL04095 for the Scholars in Clinical Science Program at Harvard Medical School (in which Mary Y. Hu was enrolled); and T32-DK0776 (to S.M. and D.A.L.); and the Irish Health Research Board (RP/2005/72, to L.K.).

PII: S0016-5085(08)02262-2

doi: 10.1053/j.gastro.2008.12.038

Gastroenterology
Volume 136, Issue 4 , Pages 1206-1214 , April 2009