Rates of New or Missed Colorectal Cancers After Colonoscopy and Their Risk Factors: A Population-Based Analysis

Background & Aims: The rate of new or missed colorectal cancer (CRC) after colonoscopy and their risk factors in usual practice are unknown. Our objective was to evaluate the rate and risk factors in a population-based study. Methods: We analyzed data from the Canadian Institute for Health Information, the Ontario Health Insurance Program, and Ontario Cancer Registry for all patients (≥20 years of age) with a new diagnosis of right-sided, transverse, splenic flexure/descending, rectal or sigmoid CRC in Ontario from April 1, 1997 to March 31, 2002, who had a colonoscopy within the 3 years before their diagnosis. Patients with new or missed cancers were those whose most recent colonoscopy was 6 to 36 months before diagnosis. We examined characteristics that might be risk factors for new or missed CRC. Results: We identified a diagnosis of CRC in 3288 (right sided), 777 (transverse), 710 (splenic flexure/descending), and 7712 (rectal or sigmoid) patients. The rates of new or missed cancers were 5.9%, 5.5%, 2.1%, and 2.3%, respectively. Independent risk factors for these cancers in men and women were older age; diverticular disease; right-sided or transverse CRC; colonoscopy by an internist or family physician; and colonoscopy in an office. Conclusions: Because having an office colonoscopy and certain patient, procedure, and physician characteristics are independent risk factors for new or missed CRC, physicians must inform patients of the small risk (2% to 6%) of these cancers after colonoscopy. The influence of type of physician and setting on the accuracy of colonoscopy, potentially modifiable risk factors, warrants further study.

Abbreviations used in this paper: CI, confidence interval, CIHI, Canadian Institute for Health Information, CPDB, Corporate Provider Database, CRC, colorectal cancer, ICD-9-CM, International Classification of Diseases, 9th Revision, Clinical Modification, OCR, Ontario Cancer Registry, OHIP, Ontario Health Insurance Plan, RPDB, Registered Persons Database